This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
8°C or below
$17 Volume
1%
9°C
$55 Volume
49%
10°C
$12 Volume
22%
11°C
$2 Volume
65%
12°C
$2 Volume
65%
13°C
$4 Volume
40%
14°C
$395 Volume
1%
15°C
$200 Volume
1%
16°C
$1K Volume
1%
17°C
$165 Volume
1%
18°C or higher
$452 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 26?
The current front-runner is 11°C at 34%, ahead of 12°C at 34%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 26?
Traders currently imply a 34% chance for 11°C. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 26 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 26 Aug 2026 (1 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 26?
Total traded volume on this market is $3.6K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 26 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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