This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
67°F or below
$208 Volume
1%
68-69°F
$288 Volume
1%
70-71°F
$588 Volume
1%
72-73°F
$408 Volume
1%
74-75°F
$721 Volume
1%
76-77°F
$2K Volume
12%
78-79°F
$2.4K Volume
42%
80-81°F
$914 Volume
42%
82-83°F
$547 Volume
9%
84-85°F
$156 Volume
2%
86°F or higher
$178 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in NYC on August 25?
The field is wide open: 78-79°F tops it at just 41%, with 80-81°F close behind at 41%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in NYC on August 25?
No strong consensus yet: 78-79°F tops the implied probabilities at just 41%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Highest temperature in NYC on August 25 market resolve?
Mark 25 Aug 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in NYC on August 25?
Traders have put $109.7K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Highest temperature in NYC on August 25 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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