This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
8°C or below
$119 Volume
1%
9°C
$140 Volume
1%
10°C
$399 Volume
1%
11°C
$304 Volume
7%
12°C
$811 Volume
42%
13°C
$713 Volume
63%
14°C
$163 Volume
15%
15°C
$139 Volume
1%
16°C
$688 Volume
1%
17°C
$516 Volume
1%
18°C or higher
$262 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.wunderground.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in Paris on August 23?
No runaway leader here - 13°C at 52% versus 12°C at 29%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Lowest temperature in Paris on August 23?
At 52% implied for 13°C, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Lowest temperature in Paris on August 23 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 23 Aug 2026 (1 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Lowest temperature in Paris on August 23?
Traders have put $10.3K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Lowest temperature in Paris on August 23 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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