This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
World
· Geopolitics
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Past
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Yes is the outsider here at 4%, while No trades at 96%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 4%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026 market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2026 (160 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
$17.8K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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