Kansas · Politics

Kansas Governor Republican Primary Margin of Victory

$3.4K Volume
04/08/2026 23:59
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Sarnecki 5–10%
$110 Volume
12%
Masterson <5%
$279 Volume
40%
Sarnecki <5%
$1.4K Volume
15%
Masterson 5–10%
$263 Volume
23%
Masterson 10–15%
$509 Volume
29%
Sarnecki 10%+
$151 Volume
9%
Masterson 15–20%
$249 Volume
44%
Masterson 20–25%
$162 Volume
12%
Masterson 25%+
$256 Volume
58%

The Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election will be held on August 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Kansas Gubernatorial Republican primary election.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Kansas, such as official statewide results published by the Kansas Secretary of State (https://sos.ks.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Kansas Governor Republican Primary Margin of Victory?
It's a genuine race: Other edges the field at 50%, barely ahead of Masterson <5% at 37%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for Kansas Governor Republican Primary Margin of Victory?
At 50% implied for Other, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Kansas Governor Republican Primary Margin of Victory market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 4 Aug 2026 (6 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Kansas Governor Republican Primary Margin of Victory?
Traders have put $3.4K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Kansas Governor Republican Primary Margin of Victory on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.

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