The non-partisan primary election for the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate earns the most votes in the WA-03 non-partisan primary election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 WA-03 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the State of Washington.
John Braun
$9.5K Volume
90%
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
$1.5K Volume
12%
Troy Rasband
$369 Volume
1%
Antony Barran
$335 Volume
1%
Brent Hennrich
$1K Volume
3%
Austin Braswell
$245 Volume
1%
Lawrence Kellogg
$324 Volume
1%
John Saulie-Rohman
$258 Volume
1%
John P. Roco
$264 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for WA-03 Primary First Place?
John Braun dominates the field at 89%; the nearest challenger, Candidate A, trades at just 50%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for WA-03 Primary First Place?
Traders price John Braun at a 89% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the WA-03 Primary First Place market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 4 Aug 2026 (11 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on WA-03 Primary First Place?
Traders have put $13.8K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade WA-03 Primary First Place on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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