Politics · Immigration

How many people will Trump deport in 2026?

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$122.9K Volume

31/12/2026 00:00

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Past

Dec 31, 2025

Dec 31

200-300k

$9.7K Volume

300-400k

$14.9K Volume

19%

400-500k

$7.8K Volume

71%

500-600k

$6.3K Volume

11%

600-700k

$5.7K Volume

700-800k

$41.9K Volume

800-900k

$12.8K Volume

<200k

$10.2K Volume

900k-1m

$6.5K Volume

>1m

$7.1K Volume

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).

This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year.

The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for How many people will Trump deport in 2026?

The current front-runner is 400-500k at 68%, ahead of 300-400k at 19%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.

What do traders predict for How many people will Trump deport in 2026?

Traders currently imply a 68% chance for 400-500k. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the How many people will Trump deport in 2026 market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (124 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on How many people will Trump deport in 2026?

Total traded volume on this market is $122.9K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade How many people will Trump deport in 2026 on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.