Israel · Politics

How many Israeli elections before government formed?

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$16.6K Volume

31/12/2027 23:59

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This market will resolve according to the number of Israeli legislative elections that occur between market creation and the formation of a government in the Knesset or December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes earlier.

This market will resolve solely based on the number of elections that occur, where occurrence is defined as nationwide election-day voting open to eligible voters across Israel. Publication of an election’s results will have no bearing on this market.

Early or special voting mechanisms that occur before election day (e.g., voting by soldiers or citizens abroad) will not affect resolution. Only the dates of general election-day voting will count.

A government will be considered formed if it passes a vote of confidence in the Knesset.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for How many Israeli elections before government formed?

The current front-runner is 1 at 77%, ahead of 2 at 22%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.

What do traders predict for How many Israeli elections before government formed?

Traders currently imply a 77% chance for 1. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the How many Israeli elections before government formed market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2027 (494 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on How many Israeli elections before government formed?

Total traded volume on this market is $16.6K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade How many Israeli elections before government formed on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.