Politics · Trump Presidency

How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2025? (Resolved)

$380 Volume
31/12/2025 12:00
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between April 14 and December 31 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.

Odds & FAQ

When does the How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2025? (Resolved) market resolve?
Trading here has ended - the market resolved and was settled under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2025? (Resolved)?
Total turnover stands at $380. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.

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