This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Past
20%
$3.2K Volume
4%
25%
$4.1K Volume
6%
30%
$13.3K Volume
7%
35%
$82.3K Volume
26%
Resolved 1
40%
$19.5K Volume
Yes
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
The current front-runner is 35% at 26%, ahead of 30% at 6%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
Traders currently imply a 26% chance for 35%. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026 market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (129 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
Total traded volume on this market is $810, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026 on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Similar Markets
38.0–38.435%YesNo
38.5–38.930%YesNo
Up71%
Down29%
↑ 47%10%YesNo
↑ 46%6%YesNo
