This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
30°C or below
$175 Volume
1%
31°C
$118 Volume
1%
32°C
$131 Volume
4%
33°C
$133 Volume
3%
34°C
$570 Volume
7%
35°C
$1.1K Volume
24%
36°C
$218 Volume
39%
37°C
$438 Volume
29%
38°C
$1.9K Volume
6%
39°C
$114 Volume
2%
40°C or higher
$10 Volume
2%
Resolution Source: www.wunderground.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 2?
Even the leader is cheap - 36°C trades at 38%, 37°C at 29%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 2?
No strong consensus yet: 36°C tops the implied probabilities at just 38%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 2 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 2 Aug 2026 (3 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 2?
$203.4K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 2 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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