This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
75°F or below
$11.7K Volume
1%
76-77°F
$3.2K Volume
1%
78-79°F
$10.3K Volume
5%
80-81°F
$9.7K Volume
13%
82-83°F
$11.5K Volume
22%
84-85°F
$7.6K Volume
47%
86-87°F
$4.3K Volume
15%
88-89°F
$5.3K Volume
3%
90-91°F
$1.7K Volume
1%
92-93°F
$406 Volume
1%
94°F or higher
$603 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.wunderground.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in NYC on August 17?
No runaway leader here - 84-85°F at 46% versus 82-83°F at 21%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in NYC on August 17?
At 46% implied for 84-85°F, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Highest temperature in NYC on August 17 market resolve?
Mark 17 Aug 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in NYC on August 17?
Traders have put $100.8K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Highest temperature in NYC on August 17 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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