This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
27°C or below
$533 Volume
1%
28°C
$591 Volume
1%
29°C
$1.7K Volume
1%
30°C
$1.7K Volume
1%
31°C
$2.9K Volume
1%
32°C
$6.4K Volume
1%
33°C
$10.8K Volume
1%
34°C
$5.5K Volume
91%
35°C
$8.4K Volume
9%
36°C
$8.7K Volume
11%
37°C or higher
$6.9K Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.wunderground.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 17?
At 89%, 34°C has pulled far clear of 36°C (9%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 17?
Traders price 34°C at a 89% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 17 market resolve?
Mark 17 Aug 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 17?
Total turnover stands at $113.7K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 17 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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