This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 15 12:00 PM ET to August 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
<40
$1K Volume
23%
40-64
$1.8K Volume
50%
65-89
$2.2K Volume
24%
90-114
$6.6K Volume
5%
115-139
$3.8K Volume
2%
140-164
$1.3K Volume
1%
165-189
$1.5K Volume
1%
190-214
$449 Volume
1%
215-239
$466 Volume
1%
240+
$525 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: x.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Elon Musk # tweets August 15 - August 17, 2026?
No runaway leader here - 40-64 at 50% versus 65-89 at 24%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for Elon Musk # tweets August 15 - August 17, 2026?
At 50% implied for 40-64, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Elon Musk # tweets August 15 - August 17, 2026 market resolve?
Mark 17 Aug 2026 (4 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Elon Musk # tweets August 15 - August 17, 2026?
Traders have put $203K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Elon Musk # tweets August 15 - August 17, 2026 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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