This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
32°C or below
$1.6K Volume
1%
33°C
$1K Volume
1%
34°C
$4.1K Volume
1%
35°C
$3.9K Volume
1%
36°C
$11K Volume
2%
37°C
$11.2K Volume
25%
38°C
$10.1K Volume
74%
39°C
$6.3K Volume
4%
40°C
$3.7K Volume
1%
41°C
$823 Volume
1%
42°C or higher
$522 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.wunderground.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Madrid on August 17?
The money is on 38°C at 73%; 37°C follows at 25%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Madrid on August 17?
Traders lean toward 38°C, pricing it at 73%. That's conviction with real money behind it - but live forecasts shift, sometimes quickly.
When does the Highest temperature in Madrid on August 17 market resolve?
The market runs until 17 Aug 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Madrid on August 17?
Traders have put $125.2K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Madrid on August 17 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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