This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
24°C or below
$5.1K Volume
1%
25°C
$4.9K Volume
1%
26°C
$12.9K Volume
1%
27°C
$28.2K Volume
1%
28°C
$12.9K Volume
55%
29°C
$10.4K Volume
34%
30°C
$8.6K Volume
12%
31°C
$8.6K Volume
3%
32°C
$6.1K Volume
1%
33°C
$7.1K Volume
1%
34°C or higher
$6.1K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 26?
It's a genuine race: 28°C edges the field at 54%, barely ahead of 29°C at 33%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 26?
Traders give 28°C a 54% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 26 market resolve?
Mark 26 Jul 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 26?
Total turnover stands at $338.1K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 26 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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