Weather · Chicago

Highest temperature in Chicago on August 1?

$46.8K Volume
01/08/2026 12:00
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63°F or below
$333 Volume
1%
64-65°F
$631 Volume
1%
66-67°F
$876 Volume
3%
68-69°F
$1.3K Volume
11%
70-71°F
$1.8K Volume
36%
72-73°F
$1.2K Volume
39%
74-75°F
$1.8K Volume
15%
76-77°F
$577 Volume
2%
78-79°F
$498 Volume
1%
80-81°F
$358 Volume
1%
82°F or higher
$398 Volume
1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Resolution Source: www.wunderground.com

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Chicago on August 1?
Even the leader is cheap - 72-73°F trades at 39%, 70-71°F at 36%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Chicago on August 1?
No strong consensus yet: 72-73°F tops the implied probabilities at just 39%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Highest temperature in Chicago on August 1 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 1 Aug 2026 (1 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Chicago on August 1?
Traders have put $46.8K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Chicago on August 1 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.

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