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Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

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$9.4K Volume

31/12/2026 23:59

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55%+

$3.3K Volume

87%

60%+

$2.8K Volume

46%

65%+

$2.1K Volume

22%

70%+

$971 Volume

12%

75%+

$216 Volume

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".

Resolution Source: agi.safe.ai

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+ leads the field at 85%, with 60%+ next at 46%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.

What do traders predict for Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

The market makes 55%+ the favorite at 85%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.

When does the Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 market resolve?

Mark 31 Dec 2026 (159 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.

How much money is trading on Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Traders have put $9.4K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.

How can I trade Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 on Polymarket?

Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.