AI · xAI

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

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$3.9K Volume

01/01/2027 04:59

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August 31

$3.1K Volume

15%

October 31

$417 Volume

49%

December 31

$385 Volume

92%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Grok (Web) experiences an incident labeled “outage” on the official xAI Grok (Web) status page between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

Only incidents listed under Grok (Web) will be considered. Incidents affecting Grok in X, Grok (iOS), Grok (Android), or similar but not Grok (Web), will not qualify.

Incidents labeled “disruption” or “info” will not qualify.

An incident’s status while it remains ongoing will not determine the market’s resolution; only incidents marked “Resolved” will be considered.

An incident which is marked "Resolved" outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at the end of the listed calendar date (ET), in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked “Resolved,” and resolution of this market will be based on the incident classification displayed immediately after it is marked "Resolved."

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official xAI Grok (Web) status page at https://status.x.ai/grok-com. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until it comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

Resolution Source: status.x.ai

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Grok (Web) Outage by?

The current front-runner is December 31 at 87%, ahead of October 31 at 47%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.

What do traders predict for Grok (Web) Outage by?

Traders currently imply a 87% chance for December 31. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Grok (Web) Outage by market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jan 2027 (129 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Grok (Web) Outage by?

Total traded volume on this market is $3.9K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Grok (Web) Outage by on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.