This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Tuesday, July 14, 2026 between France and Spain.
Resolution Source: www.fifa.com
France vs. Spain
FIFWCSOCCER FIFWC
Game context
**France holds a modest edge in the 2026 FIFA World Cup semifinal against Spain, scheduled for July 14 at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, reflecting traders' view of Les Bleus' deeper squad experience and recent knockout-stage momentum.** France advanced with a 2-0 quarterfinal win over Morocco, showcasing defensive organization and contributions from Kylian Mbappé and Ousmane Dembélé. Spain reached the last four via a dramatic 1-1 comeback victory against Belgium on July 10, with substitute Mikel Merino scoring late to extend their resilient run. The evenly balanced pricing—France at 41.5 percent implied probability, draw and Spain each at 29.5 percent—underscores the rivalry's intensity, stylistic contrasts between France's physicality and Spain's possession-oriented approach, and the inherent unpredictability of single-elimination matches between two title contenders.
To Advance
$71.4K Vol.MoneylineReg time
$251.9K Vol.SpreadReg time
$2.8K Vol.Total (O/U)Reg time
$11.7K Vol.Both Teams to ScoreReg time
$2.5K Vol.Team to Score FirstReg time
$202 Vol.France · Total (O/U)Reg time
$980 Vol.Spain · Total (O/U)Reg time
$11 Vol.Extra Time
$74 Vol.Penalty Shootout
$15 Vol.France 0 - 0 Spain
France 0 - 1 Spain
France 1 - 0 Spain
France 0 - 2 Spain
France 1 - 1 Spain
France 2 - 0 Spain
France 0 - 3 Spain
France 1 - 2 Spain
France 2 - 1 Spain
France 3 - 0 Spain
France 1 - 3 Spain
France 2 - 2 Spain
France 3 - 1 Spain
France 2 - 3 Spain
France 3 - 2 Spain
France 3 - 3 Spain
Any Other Score
Halftime Result
$2 Vol.1st Half · Total (O/U)
$97 Vol.France · Total (O/U) · 1st Half
Spain · Total (O/U) · 1st Half
2nd Half Result
$10 Vol.2nd Half · Total (O/U)
France · Total (O/U) · 2nd Half
Spain · Total (O/U) · 2nd Half
Both Teams to Score · 1st Half
$32 Vol.Both Teams to Score · 2nd Half
Corners · Total (O/U)
$950 Vol.1st Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5
1st Half Total Corners: O/U 4.5
1st Half Total Corners: O/U 5.5
2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5
2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 4.5
2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 5.5
Corners: Odd/Even
First Corner
France Corners: O/U 3.5
France Corners: O/U 4.5
France Corners: O/U 5.5
Spain Corners: O/U 3.5
Spain Corners: O/U 4.5
Spain Corners: O/U 5.5
Kylian MbappéGoals
Lamine YamalGoals
Mikel OyarzabalGoals
Ousmane DembéléGoals
Michael OliseGoals
Dani OlmoGoals
Alex BaenaGoals
Bradley BarcolaGoals
Désiré DouéGoals
Adrien RabiotGoals
Fabián RuizGoals
Mikel MerinoGoals
Ferrán TorresGoals
Gavi PaezGoals
Nico WilliamsGoals
Rayan CherkiGoals
Yeremi PinoGoals
Brice SambaGoalkeeper Saves
David RayaGoalkeeper Saves
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for France vs. Spain?
O/U 0.5 dominates the field at 93%; the nearest challenger, 2nd Half O/U 0.5, trades at just 80%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for France vs. Spain?
With 93% implied for O/U 0.5, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the France vs. Spain market resolve?
Mark 14 Jul 2026 (4 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on France vs. Spain?
Traders have put $112.5M through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade France vs. Spain on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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