The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Tonys
$379 Volume
32%
The Golden Globes
$107 Volume
49%
The Grammys
$132 Volume
37%
The Oscars
$113 Volume
37%
The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny
$120 Volume
3%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)?
Even the leader is cheap - The Grammys trades at 19%, The Oscars at 19%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)?
No strong consensus yet: The Grammys tops the implied probabilities at just 19%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live) market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 14 Sep 2026 (67 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)?
Traders have put $851 through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live) on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
Similar Markets
Ashley Trail9%YesNo
Yash Patel8%YesNoChristopher McDonald – “Hacks”46%YesNo
Hamish Linklater – “Widow’s Bay”26%YesNo
Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay”85%YesNo
Martin Short – “Only Murders in the Building”7%YesNo
Colman Domingo – “Euphoria”58%YesNo
Jonathan Pryce – “Slow Horses”29%YesNo
Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus”71%YesNo
Carrie Coon – “The Gilded Age”12%YesNo
Taylor Brown25%YesNo
Kamu Kirk24%YesNoYash Patel11%YesNo
Mallory Aurichio9%YesNo“A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms”54%YesNo
“The Pitt”50%YesNo
