This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
<20
$2.9K Volume
1%
20-39
$1.9K Volume
1%
40-59
$1.9K Volume
1%
60-79
$15.3K Volume
1%
80-99
$23.4K Volume
1%
100-119
$35K Volume
1%
120-139
$25K Volume
5%
140-159
$3.9K Volume
11%
160-179
$4.2K Volume
19%
180-199
$5K Volume
20%
200-219
$2K Volume
18%
220-239
$2.6K Volume
14%
240-259
$1.9K Volume
9%
260-279
$1.7K Volume
5%
280-299
$7.5K Volume
3%
300-319
$7.8K Volume
1%
320-339
$6.2K Volume
1%
340-359
$4.3K Volume
1%
360-379
$5.3K Volume
1%
380-399
$3.7K Volume
1%
400-419
$4.2K Volume
1%
420-439
$10.3K Volume
1%
440-459
$7.2K Volume
1%
460-479
$6.6K Volume
1%
480-499
$6.6K Volume
1%
500+
$20.5K Volume
1%
Resolution Source: x.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?
The field is wide open: 180-199 tops it at just 20%, with 160-179 close behind at 19%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?
No strong consensus yet: 180-199 tops the implied probabilities at just 20%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 21 Aug 2026 (8 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?
$1.2M in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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