This market will resolve to "Yes" if D4vd (a.k.a. David Anthony Burke) is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If D4vd is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If D4vd is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting D4vd to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for D4vd released from custody in 2026?
The market prices Yes at only 7%, with No at 94%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for D4vd released from custody in 2026?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 7% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the D4vd released from custody in 2026 market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2026 (130 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on D4vd released from custody in 2026?
Total turnover stands at $7.8K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade D4vd released from custody in 2026 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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