New York · Manhattan

Criminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31?

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$2.7K Volume

31/12/2026 23:59

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On July 7, fears of a partial building collapse lead New York City authorities to evacuate 235 East 42nd Street, also known as the Pfizer building, and surrounding areas. You can read more about that here: https://apnews.com/article/nyc-manhattan-building-collapse-risk-04dfeb966e0daa2caba74006ad174ea1.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual for conduct that caused or contributed to the structural issues that prompted evacuations relating to this building between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Criminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31?

Yes is priced at 22% and No at 78%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.

What do traders predict for Criminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31?

Traders currently imply a 22% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.

When does the Criminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31 market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve on 31 Dec 2026 (129 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.

How much money is trading on Criminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31?

Total traded volume on this market is $2.7K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.

How can I trade Criminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31 on Polymarket?

You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.