This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Scott Wiener
$2.4K Volume
71%
Connie Chan
$2.2K Volume
31%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for CA-11 House Election Winner (Individual)?
Scott Wiener leads the field at 71%, with Candidate A next at 50%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.
What do traders predict for CA-11 House Election Winner (Individual)?
The market makes Scott Wiener the favorite at 71%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the CA-11 House Election Winner (Individual) market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 3 Nov 2026 (73 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on CA-11 House Election Winner (Individual)?
Traders have put $4.6K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade CA-11 House Election Winner (Individual) on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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