This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Bitcoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down".
The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd-twap-60s-streams.
Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BTC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Resolution Source: data.chain.link
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET?
The current front-runner is Down at 52%, ahead of Up at 49%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET?
Traders currently imply a 52% chance for Down. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 25 Aug 2026 (1 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET?
Total traded volume on this market is $230.1K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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