A presidential election is scheduled to take place in São Paulo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Brazil
· Politics
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in São Paulo
Flavio Bolsonaro
$3.3K Volume
89%
Zema
$404 Volume
1%
Lula
$1.2K Volume
12%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$437 Volume
1%
Clariana Barao
$398 Volume
1%
Edmilson Costa
$398 Volume
1%
Hertz Dias
$393 Volume
1%
Pablo Marçal
$373 Volume
1%
Renan Santos
$509 Volume
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$321 Volume
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$399 Volume
1%
Samara
$390 Volume
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$365 Volume
1%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate C
50%
Candidate D
50%
Candidate E
50%
Candidate F
50%
Candidate G
50%
Candidate H
50%
Candidate I
50%
Candidate J
50%
Candidate K
50%
Candidate L
50%
Candidate M
50%
Candidate N
50%
Candidate O
50%
Candidate P
50%
Candidate Q
50%
Candidate R
50%
Candidate S
50%
Candidate T
50%
Candidate U
50%
Candidate V
50%
Candidate W
50%
Candidate X
50%
Candidate Y
50%
Candidate Z
50%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in São Paulo?
The current front-runner is Flavio Bolsonaro at 88%, ahead of Candidate A at 50%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in São Paulo?
Traders currently imply a 88% chance for Flavio Bolsonaro. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in São Paulo market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 4 Oct 2026 (41 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in São Paulo?
Total traded volume on this market is $8.9K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in São Paulo on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Similar Markets
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva63%YesNo
Flávio Bolsonaro35%YesNo
Eduardo Paes95%YesNo
Douglas Ruas5%YesNo
Ricardo Ferraço85%YesNo
Lorenzo Pazolini10%YesNo
Ciro Nogueira30%YesNo
Marcelo Castro22%YesNo
Eduardo Braga72%YesNo
Capitão Alberto Neto11%YesNo
Benedita da Silva56%YesNo
Carlos Jordy34%YesNo
Alexandre Guimarães47%YesNo
Gaguim35%YesNo
Professora Dorinha60%YesNo
Vicentinho Júnior39%YesNo
