This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 3 '26 12:00 ET candle.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 2 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 3 '26 12:00 ET candle.
If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution Source: www.binance.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3?
Down leads the field at 80%, with Up next at 21%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.
What do traders predict for Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3?
The market makes Down the favorite at 80%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3 market resolve?
Mark 3 Aug 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3?
$162K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Bitcoin Up or Down on August 3 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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