This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 16 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 17 '26 12:00 ET candle.
This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Aug 16 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 17 '26 12:00 ET candle.
If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50.
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution Source: www.binance.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Bitcoin Up or Down on August 17?
Up leads the field at 69%, with Down next at 32%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.
What do traders predict for Bitcoin Up or Down on August 17?
Traders lean toward Up, pricing it at 69%. That's conviction with real money behind it - but live forecasts shift, sometimes quickly.
When does the Bitcoin Up or Down on August 17 market resolve?
The market runs until 17 Aug 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Bitcoin Up or Down on August 17?
Traders have put $227K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Bitcoin Up or Down on August 17 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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