Politics · Elections

VA-05 Democratic Primary Winner

$9.8K Volume
04/08/2026 23:59
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Tom Perriello
$6.4K Volume
96%
Robert Tracinski
$2.4K Volume
2%
Suzanne Krzyzanowski
$1K Volume
1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for VA-05 Democratic Primary Winner?
At 96%, Tom Perriello has pulled far clear of Candidate A (50%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for VA-05 Democratic Primary Winner?
Traders price Tom Perriello at a 96% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the VA-05 Democratic Primary Winner market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 4 Aug 2026 (25 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on VA-05 Democratic Primary Winner?
Total turnover stands at $9.8K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade VA-05 Democratic Primary Winner on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.

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