This market refers to the tennis match between Ilia Simakin and Ilya Ivashka in the Zhangjiagang, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 11:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' if Ilia Simakin advances against Ilya Ivashka.
This market will resolve to 'Ilya Ivashka' if Ilya Ivashka advances against Ilia Simakin.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Ilya Ivashka
ATP
Ilya Ivashka6⁵4
Ilia Simakin76Final
Game context
Ilia Simakin enters the Zhangjiagang Challenger quarterfinal on outdoor hard courts with stronger recent momentum, having dropped just one set across his first two wins while compiling a 25-8 hard-court record in 2026. The 22-year-old Russian, ranked No. 275 with a career high of 214, shows consistent service and return metrics that have translated into efficient victories over Yevseyev and Dellavedova. Ilya Ivashka, the 32-year-old Belarusian at No. 393, reached this stage with a three-set opener and a straight-sets second-round result but carries a lower ranking and less dominant hard-court form this season. No prior head-to-head exists, leaving surface-specific form, age-related endurance, and current match fitness as the primary variables shaping trader assessments of the implied probabilities.
Moneyline
$59.2K Vol.Match Completed
$3.6K Vol.Set Total
Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Ilya Ivashka Set 2 O/U 8.5
Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Ilya Ivashka Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Ilya Ivashka Set 2 O/U 9.5
Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Ilya Ivashka Set 2 O/U 10.5
1st Set Winner
$195 Vol.Set Handicap
$189 Vol.Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Ilya Ivashka Set Handicap +/-1.5
Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Ilya Ivashka Set Handicap +/-1.5
Total Games
$1.4K Vol.Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Ilya Ivashka Match O/U 21.5
Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Ilya Ivashka Match O/U 22.5
Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Ilya Ivashka Match O/U 23.5
1st Set Total
Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Ilya Ivashka Set 1 O/U 8.5
Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Ilya Ivashka Set 1 O/U 9.5
Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Ilya Ivashka Set 1 O/U 10.5
Set Winner
Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Ilya Ivashka?
The current front-runner is Completed Match at 99%, ahead of Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Ilya Ivashka Set 2 O/U 8.5 at 99%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Ilya Ivashka?
Traders currently imply a 99% chance for Completed Match. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Ilya Ivashka market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 11 Sep 2026 (7 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Ilya Ivashka?
Total traded volume on this market is $16.3M, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Ilya Ivashka on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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