This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Bublik and Tommy Paul in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Alexander Bublik' if Alexander Bublik advances against Tommy Paul.
This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Alexander Bublik.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul
ATP
Tommy Paul
0-0
–
vs
04/09 16:30
–
Alexander Bublik
0-0
Game context
Tommy Paul holds the edge in trader consensus for this US Open third-round match on outdoor hard courts, reflecting his 5-2 head-to-head lead and stronger 2026 win rate despite Bublik’s straight-sets demolition of Adrian Mannarino in the prior round. Bublik, ranked just ahead at No. 16, brings a higher ace rate and recent five-set victory over Paul at the 2025 US Open, yet his inconsistency on hard courts this season limits upside. Paul’s counterpunching style and home support in New York factor into the pricing, though both players’ histories of extended rallies and tiebreak volatility suggest the outcome remains sensitive to early breaks and serving efficiency in what projects as a competitive encounter.
Moneyline
$110.1K Vol.Match Completed
Set Winner
$5 Vol.US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Set 2 Winner
US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Set 3 Winner
US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Set 4 Winner
Total Games
$7.2K Vol.US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 36.5
US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 38.5
US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 40.5
Set Total
$2.4K Vol.US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Total Sets: O/U 3.5
US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 8.5
US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Total Sets: O/U 4.5
US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 9.5
US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 10.5
US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Set 3 O/U 8.5
US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Set 3 O/U 9.5
US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Set 3 O/U 10.5
US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Set 4 O/U 8.5
US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Set 4 O/U 9.5
US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Set 4 O/U 10.5
1st Set Winner
$156 Vol.1st Set Total
US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 8.5
US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 9.5
US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 10.5
More Bets
$18 Vol.US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Game Spread +/-3.5
Alexander Bublik 3-0
Alexander Bublik 3-1
Alexander Bublik 3-2
Tommy Paul 3-0
Tommy Paul 3-1
Tommy Paul 3-2
Not Completed
Set Handicap
$917 Vol.US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Set Handicap +/-1.5
US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Set Handicap +/-2.5
Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul?
The current front-runner is US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 80%, ahead of US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Total Sets: O/U 3.5 at 70%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul?
Traders currently imply a 80% chance for US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 8.5. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 11 Sep 2026 (8 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul?
Total traded volume on this market is $15.9M, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paul on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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