This market refers to the tennis match between Lucas Poullain and Ilia Simakin in the Istanbul 2, originally scheduled for August 9, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Lucas Poullain' if Lucas Poullain advances against Ilia Simakin.
This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' if Ilia Simakin advances against Lucas Poullain.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Ilia Simakin
ATP
Ilia Simakin723
Lucas Poullain566Final
Game context
Lucas Poullain and Ilia Simakin meet in the final of the ATP Challenger Istanbul 2 on outdoor hard courts. The 30-year-old Frenchman, ranked around No. 439 with a career-high of 244, has advanced with straight-set wins including a recent victory over Gijs Brouwer. The 22-year-old Russian, ranked near No. 294 with a career-high of 214, brings greater recent ranking momentum and a significant height advantage at 193 cm versus Poullain’s 175 cm. Both players enter on solid tournament form after navigating the draw, though limited prior head-to-head data leaves surface-specific adaptation and serving consistency as key variables. Trader consensus reflects the closely matched profiles in a one-off final.
Moneyline
$161.3K Vol.Match Completed
$1.2K Vol.1st Set Winner
$671 Vol.1st Set Total
Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Ilia Simakin Set 1 O/U 8.5
Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Ilia Simakin Set 1 O/U 9.5
Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Ilia Simakin Set 1 O/U 10.5
Set Winner
Set Total
$13 Vol.Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Ilia Simakin Total Sets: O/U 2.5
Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Ilia Simakin Set 2 O/U 8.5
Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Ilia Simakin Set 2 O/U 9.5
Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Ilia Simakin Set 2 O/U 10.5
Total Games
$68 Vol.Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Ilia Simakin Match O/U 21.5
Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Ilia Simakin Match O/U 22.5
Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Ilia Simakin Match O/U 23.5
Set Handicap
$67 Vol.Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Ilia Simakin Set Handicap +/-1.5
Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Ilia Simakin Set Handicap +/-1.5
Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Ilia Simakin?
Completed Match dominates the field at 99%; the nearest challenger, Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Ilia Simakin Set 1 O/U 8.5, trades at just 99%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Ilia Simakin?
Traders price Completed Match at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Ilia Simakin market resolve?
The market runs until 16 Aug 2026 (7 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Ilia Simakin?
Traders have put $4.2M through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Ilia Simakin on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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