This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Arnaldi and James Duckworth in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against James Duckworth.
This market will resolve to 'James Duckworth' if James Duckworth advances against Matteo Arnaldi.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
US Open ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs James Duckworth
ATP
James Duckworth5667
Matteo Arnaldi7326⁸Final
Game context
Matteo Arnaldi enters the US Open first-round matchup as the higher-ranked player at No. 36 and No. 30 seed, holding a recent ranking surge after a French Open semifinal run earlier in 2026. His hard-court form has been inconsistent, with just 2-6 or 3-7 records in 2026 ATP main-draw matches and a second-round exit in Cincinnati. James Duckworth, ranked No. 71, arrives with stronger recent hard-court volume and a solid run to the Winston-Salem semifinals, yet his right-leg injury retirement there on August 28 raises recovery questions with minimal turnaround before this hard-court encounter. The pair has no prior head-to-head history, leaving Arnaldi’s seeding and overall standing as the primary drivers of current market positioning.
Moneyline
$807.3K Vol.Match Completed
$633 Vol.Set Handicap
$1.9K Vol.More Bets
US Open ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs James Duckworth Game Spread +/-0.5
Matteo Arnaldi 3-2
James Duckworth 3-1
James Duckworth 3-2
Not Completed
Set Total
Set Winner
Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for US Open ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs James Duckworth?
The current front-runner is Completed Match at 99%, ahead of James Duckworth 3-1 at 90%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for US Open ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs James Duckworth?
Traders currently imply a 99% chance for Completed Match. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the US Open ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs James Duckworth market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 6 Sep 2026 (6 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on US Open ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs James Duckworth?
Total traded volume on this market is $17.4M, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade US Open ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs James Duckworth on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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