This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Alex Michelsen in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 7, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Alex Michelsen.
This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen
ATP
Alex Michelsen
0-0
–
vs
07/08 16:30
–
Daniel Merida Aguilar
0-0
Game context
Alex Michelsen enters the National Bank Open third round as the clear favorite against Daniel Merida Aguilar, backed by a higher ranking (No. 42 vs. No. 63), superior hard-court experience, and a straight-sets victory in their only prior meeting at Indian Wells 2026. The American has shown strong recent form, including a first-round win over Jan-Lennard Struff in Montreal and deep runs at events like Washington. Merida Aguilar, a 21-year-old Spaniard with a recent career-high ranking of No. 59 and an ATP title earlier in 2026, faces a stylistic mismatch on the hard courts against Michelsen’s consistent baseline game and serve. Surface speed and Michelsen’s edge in big-match exposure shape trader consensus around the higher seed advancing.
Moneyline
$12.3K Vol.Match Completed
Set Winner
1st Set Winner
Set Total
$15 Vol.National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen Total Sets: O/U 2.5
National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen Set 2 O/U 8.5
National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen Set 2 O/U 9.5
National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen Set 2 O/U 10.5
1st Set Total
$33 Vol.National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 8.5
National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 9.5
National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 10.5
Total Games
$51 Vol.National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen Match O/U 21.5
National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen Match O/U 22.5
National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen Match O/U 23.5
Set Handicap
$31 Vol.National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen Set Handicap +/-1.5
National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen Set Handicap +/-1.5
Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen?
The money is on National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 8.5 at 66%; National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen Set 2 Winner follows at 63%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.
What do traders predict for National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen?
The market makes National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen Set 1 O/U 8.5 the favorite at 66%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 14 Aug 2026 (8 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen?
Total turnover stands at $9.7M. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsen on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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