This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Arizona Secretary of State election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Democrat
$882 Volume
84%
Republican
$710 Volume
14%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Arizona Secretary of State Election Winner?
The current front-runner is Democrat at 82%, ahead of Option A at 50%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Arizona Secretary of State Election Winner?
Traders currently imply a 82% chance for Democrat. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Arizona Secretary of State Election Winner market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 3 Nov 2026 (71 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Arizona Secretary of State Election Winner?
Total traded volume on this market is $1.6K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Arizona Secretary of State Election Winner on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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