This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ashley Moody (R)
$538.8K Volume
88%
Angie Nixon (D)
$366.1K Volume
14%
Relevant Guides
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Florida Senate Election Winner?
The current front-runner is Ashley Moody (R) at 87%, ahead of Angie Nixon (D) at 14%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Florida Senate Election Winner?
Traders currently imply a 87% chance for Ashley Moody (R). Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Florida Senate Election Winner market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 4 Nov 2026 (1 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Florida Senate Election Winner?
Total traded volume on this market is $904.9K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Florida Senate Election Winner on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.

