This market will resolve to "Yes" if a state-of-the-art (SOTA) AI model achieves a score of 90% or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Past
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Yes leads at 80% against 21% for No. That's a clear favorite, but not a done deal - live order-book prices shift with every trade.
What do traders predict for AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
The market makes Yes the favorite at 80%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Dec 2026 (129 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
Traders have put $20 through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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