This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Meta
$8.5K Volume
47%
Google
$5K Volume
30%
OpenAI
$8.2K Volume
19%
Anthropic
$1.2K Volume
5%
Moonshot
$996 Volume
5%
SpaceXAI
$836 Volume
5%
Alibaba
$4.3K Volume
5%
Z.ai
$894 Volume
3%
DeepSeek
$1.1K Volume
3%
Xiaomi
$857 Volume
1%
Meituan
$940 Volume
1%
Baidu
$869 Volume
1%
ByteDance
$494 Volume
1%
MiniMax
$1.4K Volume
1%
Thinky
$645 Volume
1%
Mistral
$460 Volume
1%
Amazon
$820 Volume
1%
Nvidia
$665 Volume
1%
Tencent
$733 Volume
1%
StepFun
$906 Volume
1%
Microsoft
$826 Volume
1%
Resolution Source: arena.ai
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for #2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)?
No runaway leader here - Company A at 50% versus Company B at 50%. Traders are split, so watch the live prices.
What do traders predict for #2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)?
Traders give Company A a 50% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the #2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On) market resolve?
The market runs until 30 Sep 2026 (38 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on #2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)?
Traders have put $3.1K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade #2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On) on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
Similar Markets
Anthropic98%YesNo
OpenAI2%YesNo
October 202674%YesNo
September 202614%YesNo
November 3081%YesNo
October 3157%YesNo
↑$1.25T98%YesNo
↑$1.5T94%YesNo
Alibaba93%YesNo
Z.ai4%YesNo
October 3183%YesNo
September 3073%YesNo
$1.75–$2.0T18%YesNo
$2.0–$2.25T17%YesNo
No release by August 3194%YesNo
August 312%YesNo
