Polymarket在我的国家合法吗？

Polymarket作为国际去中心化平台运营。各国的监管规定不同。建议咨询税务顾问了解报告义务。

我需要多少钱才能开始？

您可以仅用几美元就开始交易。每笔交易的最低额取决于资产价格 - - 您可以以低至1美分的价格购买股份。

您可以使用USDC（稳定数字货币）、信用卡或银行转账进行充值。该系统还支持MetaMask等加密钱包。

预测市场和赌博有什么区别？

预测市场基于双向交易（买入和卖出）和连续价格发现机制，而赌博基于庄家设定的固定赔率。在Polymarket上，您可以在事件结束前卖出您的头寸。

如何注册 Polymarket？

注册 Polymarket 需要加密钱包（MetaMask/Coinbase Wallet）或邮箱账号、基础身份验证以及 USDC 充值。我们的指南覆盖从创建钱包到首次交易的每一步。

Polymarket 在我所在的国家可用吗？

Polymarket 是全球去中心化平台，部分司法管辖区限制访问。请查看 Polymarket 的最新国家列表。我们的指南详解充值、提现、税务和风险。

什么是 Polymarket？

我们的预测市场世界指南 · 更新于: 2026-07-05

预测市场 - - 简单解释

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场平台。它允许交易者买卖关于未来事件结果的合约 - - 从政治选举到经济决策和体育比赛结果。

它如何运作？

Polymarket 上的每个市场都代表一个二元（是/否）或多选问题。价格范围从 $0 到 $1，代表概率：

$0.70（“是”） = 市场估计事件发生的概率为 70%
$0.30（“否”） = 事件不会发生的概率为 30%

如果事件发生，持有“是”的人每股获得 $1。持有“否”的人将失去投资。

为什么预测市场很重要？

学术研究表明，预测市场提供的预测准确性高于传统民调和专家意见。原因是：当人们用真实的钱来支持自己的观点时，他们往往会更诚实，做更深入的研究。

预测市场是人类迄今为止发现的最有效的聚合和传播关于未来事件信息的方式

关于本网站

Polymarket (polymarkets.co.il) 是一个关于预测市场和 Polymarket 的信息门户。我们提供关于活跃预测市场的指南、分析和新闻。

免责声明： 本网站与 Polymarket Inc. 无关，不构成投资建议。在预测市场中交易存在资本损失风险。

这个多语言网站由 Dogware.ai 的 AI 工具构建和运营，并托管在 yetty.ai 上保持在线。

常见问题

什么是Polymarket？

Polymarket是一个基于区块链的预测市场平台，您可以在此交易真实事件的结果 - - 从政治到加密货币和体育。价格反映了交易者的集体概率评估。
Polymarket在我的国家合法吗？

Polymarket作为国际去中心化平台运营。各国的监管规定不同。建议咨询税务顾问了解报告义务。
我需要多少钱才能开始？

您可以仅用几美元就开始交易。每笔交易的最低额取决于资产价格 - - 您可以以低至1美分的价格购买股份。
我如何充值？

您可以使用USDC（稳定数字货币）、信用卡或银行转账进行充值。该系统还支持MetaMask等加密钱包。
预测市场和赌博有什么区别？

预测市场基于双向交易（买入和卖出）和连续价格发现机制，而赌博基于庄家设定的固定赔率。在Polymarket上，您可以在事件结束前卖出您的头寸。
如何注册 Polymarket？

注册 Polymarket 需要加密钱包（MetaMask/Coinbase Wallet）或邮箱账号、基础身份验证以及 USDC 充值。我们的指南覆盖从创建钱包到首次交易的每一步。
Polymarket 在我所在的国家可用吗？

Polymarket 是全球去中心化平台，部分司法管辖区限制访问。请查看 Polymarket 的最新国家列表。我们的指南详解充值、提现、税务和风险。

Terms of Service

Last updated: 16 September 2026

polymarkets.co.il is an independent information, guides and news site about prediction markets, with a "training mode" for virtual trading only. The site is not Polymarket and is not affiliated with, operated by or endorsed by Polymarket.
Training mode uses virtual money only. No real trading takes place on this site, no funds are deposited or withdrawn, and nothing here affects a real Polymarket account.
An account on this site is a local training account only. It is not a Polymarket account, and we will never ask for your Polymarket (or any other service's) login details, password, wallet or keys.
Content on this site is general and educational information only and is not investment advice, financial advice or a recommendation. Any decision to use a third-party service is yours alone, subject to that service's terms and the law that applies to you.
Some links to external services are referral (affiliate) links. They lead directly to the external service's own website, and never to this site's login pages.
Do not abuse the site: automated scripts, attempts to harm the service or other users, or creating multiple accounts. We may suspend or delete accounts that break these terms.
The site is provided "AS IS". We are not liable for direct or indirect damage arising from using the site or relying on its content. These terms may change from time to time; the current version is published on this page.

Privacy Policy

Last updated: 16 September 2026

What we collect

E-mail address and display name - provided by you when signing up with a one-time e-mail link, or received from your Google account if you chose "Continue with Google".
Your preferred interface language, and your training-mode data: virtual balance, virtual positions and training history.
A sign-in record for security: IP address and browser type (User-Agent) at sign-in, with the session's expiry time.
A sign-in cookie (poly_token, up to 30 days) and a language-preference cookie (poly_lang_seen). Anonymous usage statistics via Google Analytics 4 (with IP anonymisation) and an internal measurement pixel that stores neither cookies nor IP addresses.
We do not collect or store passwords. Sign-in is passwordless - a one-time e-mail link or Google.

Signing in with Google and X

"Continue with Google" uses Google's official OAuth 2.0 / OpenID Connect flow. You enter your Google credentials only on Google's own page (accounts.google.com); this site never receives, sees or stores your Google password.
The only permissions requested from Google are the basic ones: openid, email, profile - your e-mail address, name and public profile picture. We do not request access to Gmail, contacts, calendar or any other data, and we do not keep Google's access tokens after sign-in. In practice we store only the e-mail address and name.
The sign-in Redirect URI is https://polymarkets.co.il/api/v1/auth/google/callback only.
"Continue with X" is not active and is marked "Soon" on the site. No sign-in, permission request or data collection from an X account takes place.

How we use it

To run your training account, keep your training progress, and show you on the leaderboard - only if you opted in under account settings.
To send sign-in links by e-mail, and at most one weekly update if you subscribed - with one-click unsubscribe. E-mails are sent through the Mailgun provider.
To secure the account and prevent abuse. We do not sell or pass personal data to third parties - in particular not to Polymarket or to any service the site links to.
Data is stored on our own servers in the European Union (Amsterdam) and kept for as long as the account is active.

Your rights and contact

You can ask at any time for a copy of the data we hold about you, to correct it, or to permanently delete your account and data. Reach us via the 联系我们 · hello@polymarkets.co.il

We answer every request within 14 days. Your privacy matters to us, and what we collect is the minimum needed to run training mode.