Polymarket新闻与分析 | 每日预测市场洞察
Investigation
从布拉格堡到特拉维夫:Polymarket内幕交易逮捕事件
美陆军士兵因马杜罗抓捕押注获利41万美元被起诉。以色列空军少校因交易伊朗打击日期被起诉。一个钱包通过UMA劫持了价值700万美元的乌克兰市场。三名国会候选人因下注自己的选举被罚款。
Investigation
The Polymarket Ceasefire Resolutions That Both Sides Are Calling Scandals: $203M Iran NO, $20.9M Hezbollah YES
Two big April-2026 Polymarket markets settled in opposite directions despite both arguably violating their own rules: US-Iran extended-by-Apr-22 ($203M, 3 UMA disputes) settled NO; Israel-Hezbollah extended-by-Apr-26 ($20.9M, 2 UMA disputes) settled YES. We verified the gamma API ourselves and walk through every fact.
