Habari na Uchambuzi
Habari na Uchambuzi
Habari, uchambuzi na maarifa kuhusu masoko ya utabiri ya Polymarket - siasa, uchumi, crypto, michezo na geopolitics. Sasisho za kila siku zinazoungwa mkono na data za soko za moja kwa moja na nafasi.
2026-07-23
Uchunguzi
The Typical Polymarket Trader Isn't a Whale. She's Down Two Dollars.
The World Cup leaderboard sold a story of millions. Pew's census of nearly 12,000 accounts tells the real one: small stakes, constant taps, and a crowd that ends about where it began.
Uchambuzi wa Kina
Uchunguzi na makala ndefu
The Last Three Seconds: How Polymarket's Five-Minute Bitcoin Market Got Gamed
A Stanford and Singapore study found 821 wallets pocketed about $8.2 million by nudging Bitcoin's price in the final seconds befor
2026-07-16Kutoka Fort Bragg hadi Tel Aviv: Kukamatwa kwa biashara ya ndani ya Polymarket ambayo sasa inabadilisha masoko ya utabiri
Askari wa jeshi la Marekani ashtakiwa kwa faida ya dola 409,000 kutoka kwa dau la kukamatwa kwa Maduro. Meja wa jeshi la anga la I
2026-05-05Azimio la kusitisha vita la Polymarket ambalo pande zote mbili zinaita kashfa: milioni 203 za dola kwa Iran HAPANA, milioni 20.9 za dola kwa Hezbollah NDIYO
Masoko mawili makubwa ya Polymarket ya Aprili 2026 yalikamilika kwa mielekeo tofauti licha ya kudaiwa kukiuka kanuni zao wenyewe:
2026-05-03Za Hivi Punde
The People Betting on Their Own Elections
The sharpest edge in an election market isn't a model. It's a staffer who has already seen tomorrow's poll.
2026-07-17
The Insiders Who Forgot the Ledger Never Forgets
Secret information is only an edge if the trail stays secret. On a public ledger, it never does.
2026-07-17
The $160 Million Question of What Counts as a Suit
Everyone saw the same photo. More than $160 million rode on whether they agreed on what it showed.
2026-07-17
The Bounty Hunters of Polymarket
A brand-new wallet makes one improbably perfect bet. Somewhere, an alert fires, and the hunt is already on.
2026-07-17
The Oracle on Trial
Predicting the future is the easy part. The hard part is getting a crowd to agree on the past.
2026-07-17
The One Opponent Messi Never Faced: Argentina, England and a Price That Keeps Moving
Argentina meet England in the World Cup semifinal in Atlanta, 40 years after the Hand of God. Opta makes it near-even, England 38.9% to Argentina 34.1
2026-07-15
The Real Final Is July 14: What the Money Knows About the World Cup Semifinals
Polymarket prices France ~39%, England ~21.6%, Spain ~21.1%, Argentina ~17.3% for the 2026 World Cup - and the money says the real final is the France
2026-07-14
Mikakati ya Viatu vya Dhahabu vya Kombe la Dunia 2026: Mbappé anaongoza, Kane anafuatia baada ya msimu wa magoli 61
Uwezekano wa moja kwa moja wa Kiatu cha Dhahabu cha Kombe la Dunia 2026 kutoka masoko ya utabiri: Mbappé 16%, Kane 12.5%, Oyarzabal 7.5%, Haaland 6%.
2026-06-10
Kombe la Dunia 2026 Farasi Wenye Giza: Wafanyabiashara wanatoa asilimia 32 kwamba bingwa wa kwanza atainua kombe
Ni timu gani ya kushtukiza ya Kombe la Dunia 2026 itakayofika mbali zaidi? Masoko ya utabiri yanatoa asilimia 32 kwa bingwa wa mara ya kwanza kunyanyu
2026-06-10
Je, Iran itacheza kwenye Kombe la Dunia? Soko linasema 97% - Licha ya vita, tiketi zilizovutwa na mgogoro wa visa
Ushiriki wa Iran katika Kombe la Dunia 2026 katikati ya vita vya Israel na Iran: mzozo wa viza, mgao wa tiketi uliofutwa, na machapisho ya Trump - na
2026-06-10
Trump na Kombe la Dunia la Amerika: 47% ya nafasi kwenye ufunguzi wa Marekani - na Mexico ikipita wenyeji
Je, Trump atahudhuria mchezo wa ufunguzi wa Marekani dhidi ya Paraguay kwenye SoFi? Soko linasema 47.5%. Pia: kwa nini wafanyabiashara wanaipanga Mexi
2026-06-10
Ufaransa au Uhispania? Ndani ya soko la washindi wa Kombe la Dunia la dola bilioni 1.8
Uwezekano wa moja kwa moja wa kushinda Kombe la Dunia 2026 kutoka soko la dola bilioni 1.8 la Polymarket: Ufaransa 16.2%, Uhispania 16.1%, Uingereza 1
2026-06-10
