This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Venezuela
· Oil
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?
1.1m
$16.7K Volume
94%
1.2m
$10.1K Volume
82%
1.3m
$7.4K Volume
43%
1.4m
$17.5K Volume
19%
1.5m
$8.5K Volume
11%
1.7m
$58.3K Volume
3%
2m
$14.6K Volume
7%
Resolved 1
1m
$39.1K Volume
Yes
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?
1.1m dominates the field at 92%; the nearest challenger, 1.2m, trades at just 67%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?
Traders price 1.1m at a 92% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 28 Feb 2027 (232 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?
Total turnover stands at $172.1K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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