This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if the USDC marketcap is equal to or greater than 50% of USDT marketcap on any day by December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's "historical data" section for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/usd-coin/historical_data#panel and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/tether/historical_data#panel respectively, specifically the daily "Market Cap" data.
The daily market cap data for any given date will be considered finalized once data for the following calendar day is published on CoinGecko’s “Historical Data” page for both USDC and USDT.
This market will resolve based on the specified CoinGecko chart, not according to other sources or spot markets.
December 31, 2026
$101.7K Volume
42%
Resolved 1
December 31
$81.4K Volume
No
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Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by ___?
Yes is priced at 30% and No at 70%, based on live Polymarket order-book trading. Prices move in real time as traders buy and sell.
What do traders predict for Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by ___?
Traders currently imply a 30% chance for Yes. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by ___ market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jan 2027 (130 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by ___?
Total traded volume on this market is $183.1K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by ___ on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
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