This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if the USDC marketcap is equal to or greater than 50% of USDT marketcap on any day by December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's "historical data" section for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/usd-coin/historical_data#panel and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/tether/historical_data#panel respectively, specifically the daily "Market Cap" data.
The daily market cap data for any given date will be considered finalized once data for the following calendar day is published on CoinGecko’s “Historical Data” page for both USDC and USDT.
This market will resolve based on the specified CoinGecko chart, not according to other sources or spot markets.
December 31, 2026
$101.4K Volume
47%
Resolved 1
December 31
$81.4K Volume
No
Analysis & News
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Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by ___?
Yes is the outsider here at 39%, while No trades at 62%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by ___?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 39%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by ___ market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 1 Jan 2027 (175 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by ___?
Total turnover stands at $182.8K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by ___ on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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