This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
August 31
$106 Volume
37%
September 30
$34 Volume
84%
December 31
$8.5K Volume
11%
Resolved 2
June 30
$12.3K Volume
No
July 31
$5.5K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by?
The current front-runner is September 30 at 44%, ahead of August 31 at 20%. These live odds update with every trade on the Polymarket order book.
What do traders predict for Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by?
Traders currently imply a 44% chance for September 30. Market-implied probabilities reflect real money at stake, but they are live forecasts that shift as new information arrives, not guarantees.
When does the Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve on 1 Jan 2027 (130 days left). It settles according to Polymarket's published resolution criteria once the outcome is confirmed.
How much money is trading on Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by?
Total traded volume on this market is $26.4K, a measure of how much real money traders have committed to the outcome.
How can I trade Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by on Polymarket?
You can follow the live odds on this page and open the market on Polymarket to trade it yourself. Prediction trading carries risk; never stake more than you can afford to lose.
Similar Markets
3.75%43%YesNo
4.0%31%YesNo
Good Morning79%YesNo
Productivity77%YesNo
May 301%
December 3118%
Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%94%YesNoKevin Warsh & Rate ≤ 2.5%5%YesNo
