Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

Volume $8.1K
Liquidity $15.2K
Ends 31/12/2026 00:00
Jerome Powell federal reserve Politics Fed Chair Fed Rates
Yes Probability
10%
No Probability
90%
Trading Volume
$8.1K
Time Remaining
253 days left
Yes
$3.8K Volume
9%
No
$4.3K Volume
28%

About This Market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to โ€œNoโ€.

Statements which are contingent (e.g. โ€œPowell must step downโ€), statements of intent (e.g.โ€œI am planning to fire Powellโ€) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.

If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.

The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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