This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
July 31
$2K Volume
2%
December 31
$8K Volume
13%
Resolved 1
June 30
$12.3K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by?
Even the leader is cheap - December 31 trades at 13%, July 31 at 2%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by?
No strong consensus yet: December 31 tops the implied probabilities at just 13%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Dec 2026 (175 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by?
Traders have put $22.3K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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