This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu hug on July 28, 2026, ET. Any hug recorded on that date (ET) will qualify. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Video or photographic evidence must be released on the specified date (ET) to qualify.
A qualifying hug is defined as an in-person greeting or gesture involving the two individuals wrapping at least one arm around the other individual's shoulders or back while facing each other in a manner consistent with a hug.
Gestures where only one individual places an arm around the other, or where both individuals place arms around each other while standing side by side and not facing each other, will not qualify as a hug. Brief incidental contact, such as a pat on the back or shoulder without arm-wrapping from both parties, will similarly not qualify.
The resolution source will be based on photographic/video footage.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?
The market prices Yes at only 16%, with No at 85%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 16%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday market resolve?
The market runs until 28 Jul 2026 (4 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?
Traders have put $1.9K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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