Bibi · Trump

How long will Trump and Netanyahu shake hands for?

$0 Volume
31/07/2026 23:59
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6–10s
68%
2–6s
72%
No Handshake
69%
<2s
72%
10–15s
76%
15s+
74%
Photographed only
74%

This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu during the day (ET) of their next meeting by July 31, 2026. Any handshake recorded on that date (ET) will qualify.

This market will resolve at the earlier of: (i) the publication of full-length video confirming the length of a qualifying handshake; or (ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting.

If no handshake is confirmed by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, or if no meeting takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.

If a handshake is photographed but its full length is not captured on a video released by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following the date of the meeting, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".

Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.

If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.

Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.

The resolution source will be photographic and videographic evidence.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for How long will Trump and Netanyahu shake hands for?
The field is wide open: 10–15s tops it at just 40%, with 2–6s close behind at 39%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for How long will Trump and Netanyahu shake hands for?
No strong consensus yet: 10–15s tops the implied probabilities at just 40%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the How long will Trump and Netanyahu shake hands for market resolve?
Mark 31 Jul 2026 (7 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How can I trade How long will Trump and Netanyahu shake hands for on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.

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