This market will resolve to "Yes" if Benjamin Netanyahu makes a public statement in which he insults Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Benjamin Netanyahu and a consensus of credible reporting.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31?
Yes is the outsider here at 3%, while No trades at 97%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 3% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31 market resolve?
Mark 31 Jul 2026 (7 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31?
$2.3K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by July 31 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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