This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
July 30
$622 Volume
4%
September 30
$307 Volume
10%
December 31
$1.1K Volume
72%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by?
It's a genuine race: December 31 edges the field at 50%, barely ahead of September 30 at 9%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by?
At 50% implied for December 31, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2026 (163 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by?
$2K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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