This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla sells at least one Cybercab vehicle to a qualifying retail customer for a base purchase price of $30,000 USD or less by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
“Cybercab” refers to the specific autonomous vehicle unveiled by Tesla in October 2024 under the Cybercab name, or a clearly designated successor product marketed by Tesla as the same vehicle model.
A qualifying retail customer must be a member of the general public purchasing the vehicle in a bona fide retail transaction under publicly available terms. Sales to employees, executives, family members, subsidiaries, internal entities, or for promotional, testing, or internal fleet purposes will not qualify.
The base purchase price refers to the vehicle’s listed retail price before taxes, registration fees, delivery fees, financing costs, or third-party incentives. Official Tesla discounts or manufacturer incentives count toward the base price.
Preorders, deposits, announced pricing targets, prototype deliveries, or internal fleet deployments will not qualify unless a completed retail sale meeting the above criteria occurs.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
The market prices Yes at only 18%, with No at 83%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 18%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (130 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
$48.5K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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